It’s been the mantra of the Arizona Wildcats since day one of fall camp. It’s been the one program indicator that has been missing in Tucson. It’s the one jeer that ASU fans can throw around that Wildcat fans don’t really have an answer for.
It’s the Rose Bowl.
With just four weeks left in the season, which team will represent the Pacific 10 Conference in the Rose Bowl is beginning to shape up. Assuming a Pac-10 team reaches the Rose Bowl, here are breakdowns for the four most likely teams.
Oregon
Record: 8-0, 5-0 Pac-10
Remaining Schedule: vs. Washington,
@ California, vs. Arizona, @ Oregon State
Needs: The Ducks control their own destiny. If they win out they will not only win the Pac-10, but will likely make the national championship game. If they lose to Arizona or Oregon State they will need to hope that the Wildcats or Beavers lost a second conference game.
Chances: Great. If Oregon doesn’t play in Glendale, Ariz., on Jan. 10, 2011, it will already have played in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1, 2011.
Arizona
Record: 7-1, 4-1
Remaining Schedule: @ Stanford, vs. USC, @ Oregon, vs. ASU
Needs: The Wildcats are the second of three teams that has its fate in its own paws — er, hands. If Arizona wins out and Oregon State loses once (which could happen considering their injuries and remaining schedule) then the ‘Cats will make it. If it drops any of its remaining games, the Wildcats would need some serious help.
Chances: Good. Assuming OSU, a three-loss team already, loses one more game, the Wildcats control their own destiny. But winning these last four games will be tough.
Stanford
Record: 7-1, 4-1
Remaining Schedule: vs. Arizona,
@ Arizona State, @ California, vs. Oregon State
Needs: Even if the Cardinal wins all of its remaining games, it’s still going to need some help. The early season loss to Oregon now leaves the Cardinal’s fate in the hands of the Ducks. Stanford would need Oregon to lose twice to with the conference outright and go to the Rose Bowl.
Chances: Not good. Oregon is unlikely to lose at all this season, let alone twice.
Oregon State
Record: 4-3, 3-1
Remaining Schedule: vs. Washington State, vs. USC, @ Stanford, vs. Oregon
Needs: If Oregon State wins out it will make the Rose Bowl, which is crazy considering one of their three early-season losses was to hapless Washington. If the Beavers can handle Stanford and USC and then beat Oregon it will win the Pac-10.
Chances: Good. Despite its record, Oregon State can make the Rose Bowl if it wins out.